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Cycle chart
Free
Where are we in the cycle?
The full log-scale history with every cycle top and bottom dated, and shading for the four market phases — accumulation, bull, distribution, bear.
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Thirteen years of month closes on a log scale, inside the trend channel bitcoin has never left. Four tops, four bottoms, and today — then eight tools behind the sign-in to ask what it means for this cycle.
Month closes since 2013 · log scale
Real month closes, log scale. The dashed channel is the least-squares fit through every close, with its walls set by the widest the price has run either side of it. Red dots are cycle tops, green are cycle bottoms; the 2021 first top and the 2026 low are provisional — one is a double-top shoulder, the other a low that has not been confirmed as a cycle bottom.
Eight tools · one question each
The full log-scale history with every cycle top and bottom dated, and shading for the four market phases — accumulation, bull, distribution, bear.
Fifteen years of bitcoin priced live, on candles, bars or a line, at six timeframes. Volume with its own studies, and the indicators that have actually marked this market — the bull market support band, the 200-week average, Pi Cycle and the halving clock.
The three completed bears aligned from their tops against the current decline, with the day 363–410 historical bottom window and three price scenarios drawn as bands.
Monthly and quarterly returns as heatmaps, then re-counted by market regime — because September across all years and September in an accumulation year are opposite reads — plus a forward quarter projection in dollars.
Every high-impact USD release, past and coming. What bitcoin actually did on the past ones, measured against a baseline of normal days, and a warning for the ones ahead.
What a leveraged position is paying to stay open, how crowded the book is right now, and what each end of the funding range has actually been worth — counted separately for every market regime.
The Fear & Greed index everyone quotes, scored: what each reading was actually followed by, split by regime. The same number on the dial has pointed opposite ways in a bear and an accumulation year.
Live books from four exchanges, filtered to orders of a million dollars and up. Which walls are real — eaten by trades rather than quietly pulled — and what the balance of them says about the next five minutes and the next week, which are often not the same answer. Every call it makes is written down and graded against what happened.
Sixty-nine chart patterns, each its own lab and none of them a picture. Drag a slider and the chart rebuilds — the neckline moves, the target recalculates. Push a pattern until it stops qualifying and the readouts say so.
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Regime-split returns, the quarter projection, red news days, funding and positioning, Fear & Greed by regime, and the live order book with its own scorecard.
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